nevada, and ohio. >> the long ball is pennsylvania. if they can get pen, it changes the maps entirely. but having been through this before, the day before an election, the interesting thing, both sides are convinced they're going to win. both sides. both candidates and both sides. >> do you still believe that? >> i still believe they're convinced they're going to win because they both believe it's going to be about turnout. it will be about turnout. it obviously favors the president right now. both campaigns believe they're going to win. >> let me bring that to nicolle wallace. you talk a lot to the romney campaign. one of the reasons they believe they're going to win is because they believe they have a big advantage with the independent voters? >> that's right. and they believe despite the interruption and momentum caused by the tragic storm that hit us here on east coast. they believe they've had the momentum since the debate's ended and recaptured their candidates mojo, if you will. they see the enthusiasm. 30,000 people at a rally